Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Allegretti D.
11'
11'
Njambe M.
20'
20'
Njambe M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-1, with Pineto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: US Tolentino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Pineto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Pineto have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor US Tolentino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pineto | US Tolentino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs US Tolentino
0:0
Dec 7, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Pineto vs US Tolentino
5:1
Nov 27, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Pineto
0:2
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Pineto
1:3
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Pineto vs US Tolentino
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pineto Compare
Top Goalscorer Allegretti D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Njambe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
US Tolentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Vitiello D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pineto 41 / 100
US Tolentino 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pineto US Tolentino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
US Tolentino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Pineto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Pineto's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Pineto VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pineto
(Home) 04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0 Pineto
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2 Pineto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
16 Sept
Pineto
1 : 1 Forli FC
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
29 Aug
Pineto
0 : 0 Livorno
14 Aug
Pineto
1 : 2 Gubbio
Page 1 of 4
US Tolentino
(Away) 29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0 US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0 Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1 Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0 US Tolentino
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2 US Tolentino
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0 US Tolentino
06 Apr
Pineto
0 : 0 US Tolentino
19 Mar
Notaresco Calcio
0 : 0 US Tolentino
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
