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Pineto vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Mimmo Pavone-Alessandro Mariani, Pineto
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pineto host Vis Pesaro in the Serie C - Group B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Vis Pesaro have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Pineto have conceded 1.23 and scored 0.94. Head-to-head, Pineto have won 1 to Vis Pesaro's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Jan 3, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.19) back Pineto to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Pineto
20%
Draws
10%
Vis Pesaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pineto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Pineto carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pineto's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Pineto Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pineto Vis Pesaro
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 0.94 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Pineto
0:2
Aug 22, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Pineto
1:1
Mar 5, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Pineto vs Vis Pesaro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pineto 95 / 100
Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pineto Vis Pesaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pineto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vis Pesaro conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pineto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Vis Pesaro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pineto VS Vis Pesaro
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pineto

(Home)
01 Nov
Ravenna
2 : 1
Pineto
23 Oct
Pineto
1 : 0
Gubbio
20 Oct
Pineto
2 : 0
Reggiana
17 Oct
Pianese
0 : 0
Pineto
04 Oct
Guidonia 1937
1 : 0
Pineto
Page 1 of 7

Vis Pesaro

(Away)
01 Nov
Gubbio
0 : 0
Vis Pesaro
28 Oct
Atalanta U23
2 : 1
Vis Pesaro
24 Oct
Vis Pesaro
0 : 4
Ravenna
18 Oct
Latina
1 : 0
Vis Pesaro
10 Oct
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3
Grosseto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 12 10 2 0 21:6 32
2 Ravenna 12 8 2 2 22:7 26
3 Grosseto 12 6 5 1 25:15 23
4 Reggiana 12 6 2 4 16:11 20
5 Pescara 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
6 Livorno 12 5 4 3 17:16 19
7 Sassari Torres 12 5 4 3 13:12 19
8 Campobasso 12 5 3 4 18:20 18
9 Guidonia 1937 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
10 Perugia 12 5 2 5 16:18 17
11 Vado 12 4 4 4 14:13 16
12 Latina 12 3 6 3 12:12 15
13 Atalanta U23 12 5 0 7 14:18 15
14 Pineto 12 3 5 4 10:13 14
15 Forli FC 12 2 6 4 16:18 12
16 Sambenedettese 12 2 4 6 16:20 10
17 Pianese 12 1 7 4 7:11 10
18 Ostiamare 12 2 3 7 10:15 9
19 Gubbio 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
20 Vis Pesaro 12 1 2 9 11:26 5
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)