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Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016 game between Pinhalnovense and Atletico SC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinhalnovense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pinhalnovense
35%
Draws
26%
Atletico SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pinhalnovense's 1.42 goals per match outpaces what Atletico SC have produced (1.1).
  • Pinhalnovense are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Atletico SC
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense
2:0
Mar 26, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
2:1
Dec 13, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Pinhalnovense
2:1
Sep 20, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
1:0
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Pinhalnovense vs Atletico SC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 67 / 100
Atletico SC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Atletico SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinhalnovense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinhalnovense scored in 71% of their last 24 games.

Atletico SC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pinhalnovense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinhalnovense VS Atletico SC
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinhalnovense

(Home)
12 Dec
Juv. Evora
0 : 0
Pinhalnovense
05 Dec
Pinhalnovense
4 : 1
Serpa
28 Nov
Louletano
2 : 2
Pinhalnovense
07 Nov
Pinhalnovense
0 : 0
FC Barreirense
31 Oct
Esperanca de Lagos
4 : 2
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 5

Atletico SC

(Away)
10 Sept
Atletico SC
0 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
11 Sept
Atletico SC
2 : 5
Olhanense
29 May
Atletico SC
2 : 2
Nogueirense
21 May
Nogueirense
2 : 0
Atletico SC
15 May
Atletico SC
2 : 0
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Almancilense 14 10 3 1 28:14 44
2 FC Barreirense 14 5 5 4 14:14 33
3 Lusitano VRSA 14 6 1 7 23:21 31
4 Pinhalnovense 14 6 4 4 20:16 31
5 Louletano 14 5 4 5 15:17 31
6 Atletico SC 14 3 5 6 14:17 28
7 Castrense 14 2 7 5 15:19 26
8 Juv. Evora 14 2 5 7 16:27 21
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)