Sport Picks

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Pinhalnovense vs Uniao Montemor

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Sun, Jan 16, 2022
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pinhalnovense host Uniao Montemor in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group F. Pinhalnovense are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: Pinhalnovense at 0 goals for, 0 against; Uniao Montemor at 1 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Pinhalnovense slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.05) point toward Pinhalnovense. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pinhalnovense
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Montemor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pinhalnovense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pinhalnovense come out ahead of Uniao Montemor on wins alone.
  • Pinhalnovense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pinhalnovense Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Montemor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinhalnovense Uniao Montemor
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 10 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Pinhalnovense vs Uniao Montemor
0:0
Oct 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Uniao Montemor vs Pinhalnovense
1:3
May 3, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Uniao Montemor vs Pinhalnovense
1:2
Mar 8, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Pinhalnovense vs Uniao Montemor
1:1
Nov 30, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group G
Pinhalnovense vs Uniao Montemor
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinhalnovense 85 / 100
Uniao Montemor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinhalnovense Uniao Montemor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uniao Montemor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Uniao Montemor lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Pinhalnovense found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (22 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Pinhalnovense VS Uniao Montemor
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olhanense16106032:1536
2Moncarapachense1696131:1233
3Louletano1695237:1532
4Juv. Evora1666426:1224
5Esperanca de Lagos1654720:2519
6Serpa1644818:3216
7Imortal162689:2612
8Uniao Montemor16331012:2812
9FC Barreirense1616910:309
10Pinhalnovense00000:00