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Pinheiro vs Chapadinha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Pinheiro Logo

Pinheiro

1 - 1
FT
Chapadinha Logo

Chapadinha

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Neto
56' Event
Marcos
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Maranhense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Pinheiro
30%
Draws
8%
Chapadinha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Chapadinha haven't matched Pinheiro's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pinheiro's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 19%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro Chapadinha
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 11 4
Draws 11 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2024 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Chapadinha
1:1
Feb 9, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Pinheiro
1:1
Jan 11, 2023 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Pinheiro
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinheiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Chapadinha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 76 / 100
Chapadinha 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro Chapadinha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapadinha has conceded goals in 90% of their last 21 outings.

Pinheiro's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pinheiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 7

Chapadinha

(Away)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 9 4 1 27:9 31
2 Sampaio Correa 14 8 4 2 24:13 28
3 Imperatriz 14 7 4 3 17:12 25
4 Moto Club 14 4 5 5 15:20 17
5 Pinheiro 14 2 8 4 20:19 14
6 Tuntum 14 5 4 5 19:23 13
7 Chapadinha 14 2 3 9 11:23 9
8 Cordino EC 14 1 4 9 14:28 7
Promotion - Maranhense 2024 (Play Offs)