Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pinheiro vs Lago Verde

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Pinheiro
30%
Draws
39%
Lago Verde
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Pinheiro haven't matched Lago Verde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lago Verde's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Lago Verde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lago Verde, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 15%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro Lago Verde
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.47 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.22 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2026 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Pinheiro
2:2
Jul 18, 2026 Maranhense 2
Pinheiro vs Lago Verde
0:2
Jun 21, 2026 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Pinheiro
0:1
May 30, 2026 Maranhense 2
Pinheiro vs Lago Verde
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 15 / 100
Lago Verde 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro Lago Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pinheiro scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Lago Verde let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Pinheiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS Lago Verde
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 7

Lago Verde

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Pinheiro 2
Sao Luis 1
Expressinho 2
Lago Verde 6
Cordino EC 1
Araioses 3
Tupan 1
Timon EC (MA) 6
Semi-finals
Pinheiro 2
Lago Verde 4
Araioses 2
Timon EC (MA) 1
Final
Lago Verde 1
Araioses 2