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Pinheiro vs Moto Club

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Francisco

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2025 game between Pinheiro and Moto Club finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pinheiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Pinheiro
30%
Draws
8%
Moto Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Moto Club carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pinheiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 68%
Moto Club Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro Moto Club
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 11 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Pinheiro
1:0
Jan 26, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Moto Club
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Moto Club
2:3
Jan 13, 2024 Maranhense
Moto Club vs Pinheiro
0:0
Feb 1, 2023 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Moto Club
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinheiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Francisco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Moto Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 95 / 100
Moto Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro Moto Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pinheiro found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Pinheiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Moto Club's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS Moto Club
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

Moto Club

(Away)
07 Jun
Parnahyba
1 : 0
Moto Club
30 May
Moto Club
1 : 2
Maracana
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)