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Pinheiro vs Sao Jose (MA) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pereira Fonseca R.
27' Event
Olawale A.
30' Event
Pereira Fonseca R.

AI Match Summary

Pinheiro in this Maranhense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 10-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pinheiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Pinheiro
20%
Draws
22%
Sao Jose (MA)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pinheiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pinheiro have won more games recently than Sao Jose (MA).
  • Win probability leans Pinheiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pinheiro here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Jose (MA) Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiro Sao Jose (MA)
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.47 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Sao Jose (MA)
10:2
Mar 26, 2022 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Sao Jose (MA)
3:1
Apr 29, 2021 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Sao Jose (MA)
1:0
Apr 26, 2021 Maranhense
Sao Jose (MA) vs Pinheiro
0:3
Feb 20, 2021 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Sao Jose (MA)
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pinheiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira C.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira Fonseca R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sao Jose (MA) Compare

Top Goalscorer Olawale A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiro 85 / 100
Sao Jose (MA) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiro Sao Jose (MA)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pinheiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Jose (MA)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Pinheiro's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pinheiro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiro VS Sao Jose (MA)
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiro

(Home)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
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Sao Jose (MA)

(Away)
04 Jul
Expressinho
2 : 1
Sao Jose (MA)
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
14 Jun
Tupan
2 : 3
Sao Jose (MA)
30 May
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 4 3 1 0 14:3 10
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 12:4 7
3 Chapadinha 4 1 1 2 8:8 4
4 IAPE 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
Promotion - Maranhense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
2 Moto Club 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
3 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
4 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 0 4 4:25 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2023 (Second stage - Play Offs)