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Pinheiros vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2007
Pinheiros Logo

Pinheiros

1 - 3
FT
Serra Logo

Serra

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Capixaba 2007 game between Pinheiros and Serra finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Pinheiros
15%
Draws
85%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Serra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Serra come out ahead of Pinheiros on wins alone.
  • Model gives Serra a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Pinheiros Clean Sheet 10%
Serra Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pinheiros Serra
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Pinheiros
4:0
Apr 17, 2021 Capixaba
Serra vs Pinheiros
2:1
Mar 23, 2008 Capixaba
Pinheiros vs Serra
1:1
Feb 2, 2008 Capixaba
Serra vs Pinheiros
2:2
Mar 18, 2007 Capixaba
Pinheiros vs Serra
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pinheiros 10 / 100
Serra 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pinheiros Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Serra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pinheiros scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Serra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Serra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pinheiros VS Serra
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pinheiros

(Home)
29 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Rive
19 Aug
Pinheiros
0 : 5
Estrela do Norte
16 Aug
Sport-ES
4 : 1
Pinheiros
08 Aug
Pinheiros
1 : 4
Tupy
01 Aug
Rive
3 : 2
Pinheiros
Page 1 of 6

Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linhares Futebol Clube 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
2 Pinheiros 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
3 CTE Colatina 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Jaguare 5 1 2 2 10:14 5
5 Estrela do Norte 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2007 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colatinense 5 4 0 1 9:6 12
2 Vilavelhense 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
3 Rio Branco ES 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
4 Serra 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Vitoria ES 5 1 2 2 5:7 5
Promotion - Campeonato Capixaba 2007 (Second stage - Play Offs)