Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pipinsried vs SV Erlbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Erlbach in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pipinsried
30%
Draws
31%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pipinsried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pipinsried lately — more wins on the board than SV Erlbach.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pipinsried Clean Sheet 17%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pipinsried SV Erlbach
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.31 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried
1:1
May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs SV Erlbach
0:2
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried
1:3
May 9, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Pipinsried
3:0
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Pipinsried vs SV Erlbach
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pipinsried 30 / 100
SV Erlbach 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pipinsried SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pipinsried Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pipinsried scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Pipinsried went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SV Erlbach has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pipinsried VS SV Erlbach
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pipinsried

(Home)
03 Oct
Pipinsried
2 : 1
Ismaning
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
19 Sept
Pipinsried
5 : 2
Kirchanschoring
12 Sept
Gundelfingen
3 : 1
Pipinsried
05 Sept
Pipinsried
3 : 1
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
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SV Erlbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Munich 1860 II 32 21 5 6 74:26 68
2 Landsberg 32 18 11 3 79:43 65
3 Kirchanschoring 32 16 10 6 67:35 58
4 Gundelfingen 32 16 7 9 51:33 55
5 SV Erlbach 32 16 5 11 42:35 53
6 Pipinsried 32 15 7 10 58:37 52
7 Heimstetten 32 14 9 9 64:46 51
8 Deisenhofen 32 13 10 9 44:47 49
9 FC Schwaig 32 12 9 11 48:44 45
10 Geretsried 32 12 8 12 49:46 44
11 Nordlingen 32 11 11 10 58:58 44
12 Ismaning 32 11 9 12 50:58 42
13 Schalding 32 9 11 12 43:50 38
14 Kottern-St. Mang 32 9 6 17 40:57 33
15 FC Sturm Hauzenberg 32 6 5 21 24:64 23
16 Turkspor Augsburg 32 4 5 23 28:83 17
17 Turkgucu Munchen 32 3 4 25 21:78 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)