Sport Picks

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Piracicaba vs Capivariano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2 2025 Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra, Piracicaba
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Igor Bolt

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Piracicaba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Piracicaba
20%
Draws
44%
Capivariano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capivariano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Capivariano come out ahead of Piracicaba on wins alone.
  • Piracicaba are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Capivariano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Piracicaba, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Piracicaba Clean Sheet 68%
Capivariano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piracicaba Capivariano
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 14 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Piracicaba
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Capivariano
1:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Piracicaba
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Paulista A2
Piracicaba vs Capivariano
0:0
Mar 23, 2017 Paulista A2
Capivariano vs Piracicaba
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piracicaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Igor Bolt
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Capivariano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piracicaba 68 / 100
Capivariano 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piracicaba Capivariano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piracicaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Piracicaba scored in 73% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Piracicaba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Capivariano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Piracicaba VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piracicaba

(Home)
22 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
09 Aug
Noroeste
2 : 1
Piracicaba
01 Aug
Piracicaba
1 : 1
Noroeste
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
Page 1 of 8

Capivariano

(Away)
21 Feb
Palmeiras
4 : 0
Capivariano
15 Feb
Botafogo SP
0 : 1
Capivariano
08 Feb
Capivariano
1 : 0
Mirassol
05 Feb
Corinthians
3 : 0
Capivariano
25 Jan
Capivariano
1 : 2
Primavera EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Primavera EC 1
Santo Andre 0
Taubate 1
Sao Jose EC 0
Capivariano 3
Piracicaba 2
Ituano 4
Ferroviaria 3
Semi-finals
Primavera EC 4
Taubate 1
Capivariano 4
Ituano 1
Final
Primavera EC 1
Capivariano 2