Sport Picks

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Pirae vs Suva

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023 VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila
Wed, May 24, 2023
2 - 4
04:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nabenu S.
20'
Baravilala F.
22'
Tau S.

AI Match Summary

Suva in this OFC Champions League 2023 tie, finishing 2-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pirae
20%
Draws
51%
Suva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirae have won more games recently than Suva.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Suva taking it.
  • Pirae have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Suva, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pirae Clean Sheet 10%
Suva Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirae Suva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2.2 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2023 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs Suva
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirae Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetauira T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Labaste A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Suva Compare

Top Goalscorer Soromon A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nabenu S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirae 14 / 100
Suva 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirae Suva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Pirae found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Suva conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Pirae has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pirae VS Suva
1 Goals Scored 2.25
5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirae

(Home)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 6

Suva

(Away)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
02 Aug
Rewa
4 : 0
Suva
26 Jul
Suva
2 : 3
Tailevu Naitasiri
18 Jul
Labasa
2 : 2
Suva
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Auckland City 3
Ifira Blackbird 2
Pirae 2
Suva 4
Final
Auckland City 4
Suva 2