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Pirae vs Vaivase-Tai

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirae play Vaivase-Tai in the OFC Champions League 2024. Pirae are favorites here. Recently, Pirae averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Vaivase-Tai averaged 2.89 goals scored and 2.67 conceded. In past meetings, Pirae won 1, Vaivase-Tai won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2024 ended 6:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Pirae and 1.00 for Vaivase-Tai. This points to a Pirae double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pirae
25%
Draws
15%
Vaivase-Tai
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pirae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Pirae picked up more points recently compared to Vaivase-Tai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Pirae Clean Sheet 23%
Vaivase-Tai Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirae Vaivase-Tai
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 13 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.2 2.89
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2024 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs Vaivase-Tai
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirae Compare

Top Goalscorer Tau S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tepa P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Vaivase-Tai Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirae 59 / 100
Vaivase-Tai 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirae Vaivase-Tai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirae Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pirae & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pirae attacking → ← attacking Vaivase-Tai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirae scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vaivase-Tai let in goals in 78% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Pirae went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vaivase-Tai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 12
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City32108:27
2Rewa32108:67
3PNG Hekari31024:43
4Solomon Warriors30032:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Pirae321011:17
2Magenta321010:17
3Ifira Blackbird31027:83
4Vaivase-Tai30031:190