Sport Picks

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Pirae vs Venus

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2022
Wed, Jun 15, 2022
0 - 1
06:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

97'
Tehau J.
111' Event
Tehau R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Venus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Pirae
15%
Draws
0%
Venus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirae

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pirae come out ahead of Venus on wins alone.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Pirae have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Venus, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pirae Clean Sheet 18%
Venus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirae Venus
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 0
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.2 2
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.52 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2022 OFC Champions League
Pirae vs Venus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirae Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.26

Venus Compare

Top Goalscorer Tehau R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirae 31 / 100
Venus 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirae Venus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirae Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Venus registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pirae's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Venus conceded in 71% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pirae VS Venus
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirae

(Home)
15 Nov
Carnoux F.C.
5 : 1
Pirae
05 Apr
Pirae
1 : 1
Tiga Sport
02 Apr
Rewa
0 : 1
Pirae
30 Mar
Auckland City
1 : 0
Pirae
25 May
Auckland City
4 : 0
Pirae
Page 1 of 6

Venus

(Away)
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Central Coast
3 : 0
Venus
10 Aug
Venus
0 : 1
Tiga Sport
30 Oct
Venus
0 : 3
Belfort
17 Aug
Venus
0 : 3
Auckland City
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ne Drehu 3
Hienghene Sport 4
Solomon Warriors 3
Central Coast 4
Rewa 5
Lautoka 1
RueRue 0
ABM Galaxy 5
Pirae 0
Venus 1
Lae City 2
PNG Hekari 1