Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pirata vs Universitario de Deportes

Peru Peru

Copa de la Liga Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo
Pirata Logo

Pirata

2 - 0
FT
Universitario de Deportes Logo

Universitario de Deportes

Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Verde J.
Own Goal
84' Event
Carrillo L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Pirata
30%
Draws
58%
Universitario de Deportes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Universitario de Deportes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Pirata and Universitario de Deportes close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Model gives Universitario de Deportes a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Universitario de Deportes, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Universitario de Deportes have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Pirata Clean Sheet 10%
Universitario de Deportes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirata Universitario de Deportes
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Pirata vs Universitario de Deportes
2:0
Jul 21, 2019 Liga 1
Pirata vs Universitario de Deportes
0:1
Feb 23, 2019 Liga 1
Universitario de Deportes vs Pirata
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pirata Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Universitario de Deportes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirata 18 / 100
Universitario de Deportes 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirata Universitario de Deportes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Universitario de Deportes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirata scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Universitario de Deportes let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Pirata went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirata VS Universitario de Deportes
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirata

(Home)
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2
Union Comercio
Page 1 of 6

Universitario de Deportes

(Away)
19 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 0
Universitario de Deportes
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2
Comerciantes Unidos
29 Aug
Cajamarca
2 : 4
Universitario de Deportes
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza Atl. 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Carlos Mannucci 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 A. Lima 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Cesar Vallejo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
2 Juan Pablo II 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
3 Comerciantes Unidos 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cajamarca 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Llacuabamba 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 FC Cajamarca 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Grau 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
2 Pirata 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Universitario de Deportes 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Huancayo 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 AD Tarma 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Alianza Huanuco 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Union Minas 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Deportivo Garcilaso 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Binacional 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Cusco 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Chankas 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Santos FC 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Ayacucho 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moquegua 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Tacna Heroica 2 1 0 1 5:5 3
3 FBC Melgar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Boys 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 AD Cantolao 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 U. San Martin 2 0 1 1 5:6 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Cristal 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Comerciantes FC 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Union Comercio 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Estudiantil CNI 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)