Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Piratas vs Correcaminos

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente, Boca del Río
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Garcia F.
Assist: Figueroa B.
30'
Estopier J.
45'
Mendoza B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX game between Piratas and Correcaminos finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Piratas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Piratas
30%
Draws
23%
Correcaminos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Piratas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Correcaminos come out ahead of Piratas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Piratas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Piratas Clean Sheet 19%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piratas Correcaminos
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Piratas vs Correcaminos
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Piratas Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clemente J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Correcaminos Compare

Top Goalscorer Estopier J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piratas 85 / 100
Correcaminos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piratas Correcaminos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piratas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Piratas scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Defensive concern: Correcaminos conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Piratas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piratas VS Correcaminos
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Piratas

(Home)
04 Oct
Piratas
4 : 0
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Piratas
2 : 1
Venados FC
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1
Piratas
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1
Correcaminos
Page 1 of 3

Correcaminos

(Away)
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1
Correcaminos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 11 7 2 2 27:16 23
2 Club Atletico Morelia 11 7 1 3 21:12 22
3 Atletico La Paz 11 6 2 3 24:13 20
4 Venados FC 11 6 1 4 26:21 19
5 Piratas 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 11 4 4 3 19:18 16
10 Tapatio 10 4 2 4 17:15 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
12 Tlaxcala 11 3 3 5 19:23 12
13 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
14 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 11 3 1 7 8:22 10
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)