Sport Picks
Piratas vs Tepatitlan de Morelos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Luis "Pirata" Fuente, Boca del Río 
AI Match Summary
Piratas host Tepatitlan de Morelos in the Liga de Expansion MX. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tepatitlan de Morelos have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Piratas have conceded 0.91 and scored 1.45. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.25 vs 1.06, favoring Piratas. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Piratas haven't matched Tepatitlan de Morelos's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Piratas's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Piratas | Tepatitlan de Morelos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Piratas found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (11 games).
Defensive concern: Tepatitlan de Morelos conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
Piratas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Tepatitlan de Morelos has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Piratas
(Home)Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 27:16 | 23 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Morelia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Atletico La Paz | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 26:21 | 19 |
| 5 | Piratas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:19 | 17 |
| 7 | Cancun | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:15 | 17 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tapatio | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 13 |
| 12 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Tlaxcala | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:29 | 6 |
