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Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Hristo Botev, Blagoevgrad
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Blagoevgrad host Spartak Pleven in the Vtora liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Pirin Blagoevgrad have averaged 0.71 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Spartak Pleven's 1.23 scored and 1.55 conceded. Head-to-head, Pirin Blagoevgrad have won 3 to Spartak Pleven's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.94) point toward Spartak Pleven. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
15%
Draws
64%
Spartak Pleven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Pleven come out ahead of Pirin Blagoevgrad on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Spartak Pleven Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Blagoevgrad Spartak Pleven
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.71 1.23
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:5
Mar 15, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:2
Mar 14, 2020 Vtora liga
Spartak Pleven vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Blagoevgrad 30 / 100
Spartak Pleven 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Blagoevgrad Spartak Pleven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Pleven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Pirin Blagoevgrad scored in 39% of their last 28 games.

Pirin Blagoevgrad went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Blagoevgrad VS Spartak Pleven
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Home)
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
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Spartak Pleven

(Away)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
13 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
07 Sept
Spartak Pleven
3 : 2
Hebar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)