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Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pirin Razlog in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pirin Razlog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pirin Razlog
15%
Draws
48%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman have won more games recently than Pirin Razlog.
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Pirin Razlog
5:1
May 14, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Botev Ihtiman
1:1
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Pirin Razlog
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 22 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Razlog scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Botev Ihtiman conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Pirin Razlog stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Botev Ihtiman
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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