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Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Pirin Razlog
30%
Draws
16%
Septemvri Simitli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Pirin Razlog haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 16% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pirin Razlog Septemvri Simitli
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 12 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli
6:0
Mar 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Simitli
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
Septemvri Simitli 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pirin Razlog Septemvri Simitli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Razlog scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Simitli conceded in 64% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Pirin Razlog went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pirin Razlog VS Septemvri Simitli
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pirin Razlog

(Home)
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Pirin Razlog
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Septemvri Simitli

(Away)
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3
Natsional Sofia
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