Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pisa vs AC Milan

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Toure I.
39' Event
Loftus-Cheek R.
Assist: Athekame Z.
46'
Sub
Nkunku C. In: Fullkrug N.
Out: Nkunku C.

AI Match Summary

AC Milan in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Milan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pisa
20%
Draws
38%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AC Milan lately — more wins on the board than Pisa.
  • Model gives Pisa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AC Milan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Pisa Clean Sheet 16%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pisa AC Milan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Serie A
Pisa vs AC Milan
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Serie A
AC Milan vs Pisa
2:2
Apr 14, 1991 Serie A
Pisa vs AC Milan
0:1
Dec 9, 1990 Serie A
AC Milan vs Pisa
1:0
Jun 11, 1989 Serie A
Pisa vs AC Milan
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pisa Compare

Top Goalscorer Loyola F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AC Milan Compare

Top Goalscorer Loftus-Cheek R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Modric L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pisa 41 / 100
AC Milan 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pisa AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AC Milan let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

AC Milan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pisa scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pisa VS AC Milan
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pisa

(Home)
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
25 Jul
Pisa
1 : 1
Juventus U23
19 Jul
Pisa
6 : 1
Pavia
23 May
Lazio
2 : 1
Pisa
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3
Napoli
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AC Milan

(Away)
25 Jul
Celtic
2 : 2
AC Milan
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Genoa
1 : 2
AC Milan
10 May
AC Milan
2 : 3
Atalanta
03 May
Sassuolo
2 : 0
AC Milan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)