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Pistoiese vs Correggese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pistoiese host Correggese in the Serie D - Group D. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Correggese have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Pistoiese have conceded 0.5 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Pistoiese have won 3 to Correggese's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 0.88) point toward Pistoiese. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pistoiese
15%
Draws
34%
Correggese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Pistoiese have won more games recently than Correggese.
  • Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 20%
Correggese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Correggese
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 25 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Pistoiese
0:3
Dec 3, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Correggese vs Pistoiese
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Correggese
1:1
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Correggese vs Pistoiese
3:2
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Correggese
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 85 / 100
Correggese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Correggese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pistoiese scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Correggese let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Correggese
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
04 Oct
USD Casatese
0 : 3
Pistoiese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
Page 1 of 8

Correggese

(Away)
04 Oct
Correggese
2 : 1
Pavia
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
Correggese
2 : 1
Varesina
12 Sept
Arconatese
1 : 1
Correggese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)