Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pistoiese vs Crema

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Latini A.
8' Event
Saporetti S.
25' Event
Recino G.

AI Match Summary

Pistoiese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pistoiese
6%
Draws
4%
Crema
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pistoiese lately — more wins on the board than Crema.
  • Model gives Pistoiese a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Crema Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Crema
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 22 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Crema
4:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Pistoiese
1:1
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Crema vs Pistoiese
0:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Crema
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Saporetti S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bertolo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Crema Compare

Top Goalscorer Latini A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Recino G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 95 / 100
Crema 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Crema

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pistoiese's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Crema conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Pistoiese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Crema
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3
Piacenza
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Cittadella Vis Modena
26 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 1
Pistoiese
19 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Tropical Coriano
12 Apr
Pro Sesto
0 : 0
Pistoiese
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Crema

(Away)
10 May
Crema
2 : 0
Tropical Coriano
03 May
Piacenza
3 : 1
Crema
26 Apr
Crema
0 : 0
Correggese
19 Apr
Pro Palazzolo
2 : 1
Crema
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)