Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025

Pistoiese

2 - 0

Fiorenzuola

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Pinzauti L.

70'

Sparacello C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Pistoiese and Fiorenzuola finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Pistoiese

28%

Draws

22%

Fiorenzuola

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Pistoiese come out ahead of Fiorenzuola on wins alone.
50% — that's where the model lands on Pistoiese taking it.
Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Pistoiese Clean Sheet 20%

Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pistoiese	Fiorenzuola
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	21	6
Draws	6	4
Losses	4	20
Goals Scored	1.88	0
Goals Conceded	0.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Pistoiese vs Fiorenzuola

Possession: 41% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D

Fiorenzuola vs Pistoiese

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinzauti L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sparacello C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Fiorenzuola Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 49 / 100

Fiorenzuola 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pistoiese Fiorenzuola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pistoiese's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fiorenzuola conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Pistoiese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS -

1.88 Goals Scored 0

0.38 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Forli FC	34	27	3	4	75:24	84
2	Ravenna	34	23	5	6	65:27	74
3	Lentigione	34	18	11	5	48:27	65
4	Tau	34	18	9	7	54:27	63
5	Pistoiese	34	18	7	9	45:23	61
6	Imolese	34	14	11	9	52:44	53
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	13	8	13	48:40	47
8	Piacenza	34	10	12	12	38:40	42
9	Prato	34	11	9	14	34:38	42
10	Tuttocuoio	34	10	12	12	32:43	42
11	SCD Progresso	34	10	11	13	24:32	41
12	San Marino Calcio	34	10	8	16	38:51	38
13	Sasso Marconi	34	9	10	15	39:51	37
14	Corticella	34	10	6	18	37:65	36
15	Sammaurese	34	7	10	17	27:37	31
16	Fiorenzuola	34	7	5	22	21:46	26
17	Zenith Prato	34	10	8	16	36:51	23
18	United Riccione	34	5	7	22	22:69	22