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Stadium Background

Pistoiese vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Barzago N.
36' Event
Gennari M.
55' Event
Saporetti S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Pistoiese and Sangiuliano City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pistoiese
6%
Draws
4%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pistoiese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pistoiese taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Pistoiese here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sangiuliano City
3:1
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Pistoiese
1:4
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sangiuliano City
0:3
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs Pistoiese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Gennari M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saporetti S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Barzago N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 95 / 100
Sangiuliano City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Sangiuliano City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pistoiese scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Sangiuliano City conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Sangiuliano City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738