Sport Picks
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 
Match Events
21'
21'
Contini G.
41'
41'
Luperini G.
45'
45'
Toldo A.
AI Match Summary
Pistoiese in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pistoiese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pistoiese lately — more wins on the board than Sant'Angelo.
- Model gives Pistoiese a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 20%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pistoiese | Sant'Angelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 21 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.53 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo
3:0
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese
1:3
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs Pistoiese
0:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Sant'Angelo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pistoiese Compare
Top Goalscorer Contini G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Luperini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Sant'Angelo Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pistoiese 85 / 100
Sant'Angelo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pistoiese Sant'Angelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pistoiese scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Sant'Angelo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Pistoiese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pistoiese VS Sant'Angelo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Pistoiese
(Home) 07 Oct
Sestri Levante
1 : 0 Pistoiese
04 Oct
USD Casatese
0 : 3 Pistoiese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1 Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Arconatese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0 Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1 Siena
10 May
Pistoiese
1 : 3 Piacenza
Page 1 of 3
Sant'Angelo
(Away) 07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2 Castellanzese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
06 Sept
Correggese
0 : 3 Sant'Angelo
23 Aug
Rovato Vertovese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:1 | 18 |
| 2 | Pro Sesto | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Castellanzese | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 7 | USD Casatese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Correggese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Pavia | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Varese FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Varesina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Tropical Coriano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crema | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | 4 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Oltrepo | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 18 | US Pontedera | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
