Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pistoiese vs Tuttocuoio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Rizq K.
45'
Maldonado L.
81' Event
Okoh J.

AI Match Summary

Pistoiese in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pistoiese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Pistoiese
15%
Draws
7%
Tuttocuoio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pistoiese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Tuttocuoio haven't matched Pistoiese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pistoiese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pistoiese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Pistoiese Clean Sheet 68%
Tuttocuoio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pistoiese Tuttocuoio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 21 0
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 23
Goals Scored 2 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.55 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Tuttocuoio
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Pistoiese
0:3
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tuttocuoio vs Pistoiese
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Pistoiese vs Tuttocuoio
1:0
Apr 1, 2017 Serie C - Group A
Pistoiese vs Tuttocuoio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pistoiese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizq K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Della L. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Tuttocuoio Compare

Top Goalscorer Okoh J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pistoiese 95 / 100
Tuttocuoio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pistoiese Tuttocuoio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pistoiese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pistoiese's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tuttocuoio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Pistoiese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pistoiese VS Tuttocuoio
1.63 Goals Scored 0.6
1 Goals Conceded 1.8
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 20%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Pistoiese

(Home)
20 Sept
Varesina
0 : 1
Pistoiese
16 Sept
Pistoiese
5 : 0
Arconatese
13 Sept
Crema
1 : 3
Pistoiese
06 Sept
Pistoiese
2 : 0
Solbiatese
22 Aug
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Siena
Page 1 of 6

Tuttocuoio

(Away)
03 May
Tuttocuoio
3 : 3
Trevigliese
26 Apr
Pro Sesto
2 : 0
Tuttocuoio
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1
Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 0
Tuttocuoio
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desenzano Calvina 34 23 8 3 60:21 77
2 Lentigione 34 22 7 5 51:23 73
3 Pistoiese 34 20 11 3 61:22 71
4 Piacenza 34 19 7 8 60:35 64
5 Pro Palazzolo 34 16 9 9 44:31 57
6 Pro Sesto 34 15 10 9 45:30 55
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 15 10 9 35:29 55
8 Rovato Vertovese 34 14 10 10 35:29 52
9 Sangiuliano City 34 14 8 12 41:45 47
10 SCD Progresso 34 10 9 15 38:42 39
11 Sant'Angelo 34 10 9 15 38:51 39
12 Correggese 34 9 12 13 35:36 39
13 Crema 34 9 11 14 35:47 38
14 Imolese 34 8 10 16 28:47 34
15 Sasso Marconi 34 8 7 19 33:49 31
16 Tropical Coriano 34 7 10 17 29:45 31
17 Trevigliese 34 5 8 21 31:62 23
18 Tuttocuoio 34 0 8 26 18:73 8
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)