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Pitbulls vs Aserri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pitbulls host Aserri in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pitbulls have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Aserri's 1 scored and 1.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Aserri slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.06, favoring Pitbulls. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pitbulls
30%
Draws
33%
Aserri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pitbulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pitbulls lately — more wins on the board than Aserri.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 20%
Aserri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitbulls Aserri
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Pitbulls
1:1
Mar 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Aserri
0:0
Feb 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Pitbulls
1:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Pitbulls
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Aserri
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitbulls 31 / 100
Aserri 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitbulls Aserri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitbulls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitbulls scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Aserri let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Pitbulls went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pitbulls VS Aserri
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitbulls

(Home)
03 Oct
CS Uruguay
2 : 2
Pitbulls
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
22 Sept
Pitbulls
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
Page 1 of 6

Aserri

(Away)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)