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Stadium Background

Pitea vs FC Arlanda

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Rydz S.
55'
Sub
Butros M. In: Bergstedt O.
Out: Butros M.
59'
Sub
Sharma E. In: Wikstrom I.
Out: Sharma E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Pitea and FC Arlanda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Arlanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pitea
6%
Draws
90%
FC Arlanda
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Arlanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pitea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FC Arlanda are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pitea Clean Sheet 12%
FC Arlanda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea FC Arlanda
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs FC Arlanda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Arlanda Compare

Top Goalscorer Rydz S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bergstedt O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 10 / 100
FC Arlanda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea FC Arlanda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

FC Arlanda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Pitea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS FC Arlanda
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hammarby TFF14102238:1132
2Karlstad1493222:930
3FC Arlanda1485123:1029
4FC Stockholm Internazionale1483328:1427
5Enkopings SK1481524:2325
6FBK Karlstad1473423:2024
7AFC Eskilstuna1454523:2419
8Karlbergs1453623:2318
9Umea FC1444620:2416
10FC Jarfalla1443721:2715
11Vasalund1443720:3015
12Assyriska FF1435622:2914
13Gefle1442817:2914
14Sollentuna1427512:1913
15Pitea1423916:329
16IFK Stocksund1415828:368