Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pitea vs Kiruna

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025 LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Norberg O.
38' Event
Naylor A.
68' Event
Richard O.

AI Match Summary

Pitea in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pitea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pitea
35%
Draws
41%
Kiruna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kiruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pitea lately — more wins on the board than Kiruna.
  • Win probability leans Kiruna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pitea Clean Sheet 13%
Kiruna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Kiruna
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.42 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Pitea vs Kiruna
2:1
May 17, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Pitea
1:1
Sep 21, 2008 Division 2 - Norrland
Kiruna vs Pitea
3:2
May 11, 2008 Division 2 - Norrland
Pitea vs Kiruna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Norberg O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richard O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Kiruna Compare

Top Goalscorer Naylor A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 19 / 100
Kiruna 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Kiruna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kiruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Pitea scored in 76% of their last 38 games.

Kiruna has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Pitea remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
Pitea
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
16 Aug
Pitea
1 : 1
Vasalund
09 Aug
FC Arlanda
0 : 0
Pitea
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
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Kiruna

(Away)
01 Nov
Kiruna
1 : 1
IFK Umea
25 Oct
IFK Umea
2 : 1
Kiruna
18 Oct
Friska Viljor
0 : 4
Kiruna
11 Oct
Kiruna
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
05 Oct
Boden City
0 : 0
Kiruna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pitea 12 9 2 1 32:12 29
2 Skelleftea 12 7 2 3 24:16 23
3 IFK Lulea 12 6 4 2 21:11 22
4 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 4 5 12:20 13
5 Boden 12 3 3 6 10:20 12
6 Kiruna 12 1 5 6 13:23 8
7 Boden City 12 1 4 7 12:22 7
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Ostersund 12 9 1 2 39:18 28
2 Umea FC Akademi 12 8 0 4 32:19 24
3 Kubikenborgs 12 7 0 5 20:22 21
4 Gottne IF 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
5 Friska Viljor 12 5 0 7 24:25 15
6 Lucksta IF 12 3 1 8 19:30 10
7 Taftea IK 12 2 3 7 11:28 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation Group)