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Pitea vs RoPS Rovaniemi

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pitea play RoPS Rovaniemi in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pitea averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. RoPS Rovaniemi averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Pitea won 0, RoPS Rovaniemi won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Pitea and 1.63 for RoPS Rovaniemi. This points to a RoPS Rovaniemi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Pitea
21%
Draws
42%
RoPS Rovaniemi
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: RoPS Rovaniemi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pitea picked up more points recently compared to RoPS Rovaniemi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Pitea Clean Sheet 14%
RoPS Rovaniemi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea RoPS Rovaniemi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Pitea vs RoPS Rovaniemi
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 36 / 100
RoPS Rovaniemi 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea RoPS Rovaniemi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: RoPS Rovaniemi or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pitea attacking → ← attacking RoPS Rovaniemi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Pitea went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

RoPS Rovaniemi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Friendly match. Both teams will likely test tactics and rotate squads rather than push for a result.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 49
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25