Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pitea vs Vasalund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena, Piteå
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Kavur B.
19'
Westin T.
36'
Sub
Felicia G. In: Naslund H.
Out: Felicia G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pitea
20%
Draws
29%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pitea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vasalund average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Pitea's 1.24.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Pitea taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Pitea Clean Sheet 15%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Vasalund
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
1:1
May 10, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
0:1
May 9, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pitea Compare

Top Goalscorer Jordan L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 84 / 100
Vasalund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pitea found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Vasalund has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Pitea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS Vasalund
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
03 Oct
Pitea
1 : 1
Karlstad
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
FBK Karlstad
2 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
13 Sollentuna 25 5 9 11 24:36 24
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 25 3 6 16 45:61 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)