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Pitea vs Vasalund

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra LF Arena, Piteå
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pitea host Vasalund in the Division 1 - Norra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Pitea at 1.63 goals for, 2.13 against; Vasalund at 1.25 for, 2.25 against. Head-to-head, Pitea have won 3 to Vasalund's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.69, favoring Vasalund. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pitea
30%
Draws
47%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vasalund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Medium Confidence
  • Pitea average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Vasalund's 1.25.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Pitea Clean Sheet 13%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pitea Vasalund
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
0:1
May 9, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs Vasalund
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Pitea
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pitea 30 / 100
Vasalund 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pitea Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vasalund conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Pitea scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Vasalund registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pitea VS Vasalund
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pitea

(Home)
01 Aug
Pitea
0 : 2
Gefle
24 Jun
Karlbergs
3 : 1
Pitea
21 Jun
Pitea
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
07 Jun
Pitea
0 : 2
Enkopings SK
Page 1 of 6

Vasalund

(Away)
03 Aug
Vasalund
1 : 1
Sollentuna
26 Jun
Assyriska FF
3 : 1
Vasalund
18 Jun
Vasalund
0 : 4
Karlbergs
14 Jun
Enkopings SK
1 : 1
Vasalund
08 Jun
FC Stockholm Internazionale
4 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hammarby TFF 15 11 2 2 43:12 35
2 Karlstad 15 10 3 2 24:10 33
3 FC Stockholm Internazionale 15 9 3 3 32:14 30
4 FC Arlanda 15 8 5 2 24:15 29
5 Enkopings SK 15 8 1 6 25:25 25
6 FBK Karlstad 15 7 3 5 23:22 24
7 AFC Eskilstuna 15 6 4 5 24:24 22
8 Karlbergs 15 6 3 6 25:23 21
9 Assyriska FF 15 4 5 6 24:29 17
10 Gefle 15 5 2 8 19:29 17
11 Umea FC 15 4 4 7 20:25 16
12 Vasalund 15 4 4 7 21:31 16
13 FC Jarfalla 15 4 3 8 21:31 15
14 Sollentuna 15 2 8 5 13:20 14
15 Pitea 15 2 3 10 16:34 9
16 IFK Stocksund 15 1 5 9 28:38 8
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)