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Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Réunion Réunion

Regionale 1 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionale 1 2023 game between Piton Saint-Leu and Sainte-Marienne finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Piton Saint-Leu
15%
Draws
0%
Sainte-Marienne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Piton Saint-Leu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Piton Saint-Leu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Piton Saint-Leu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionale 1 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Piton Saint-Leu Clean Sheet 20%
Sainte-Marienne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Piton Saint-Leu Sainte-Marienne
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.69 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Piton Saint-Leu
1:1
May 21, 2023 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne
2:2
Oct 13, 2021 Regionale 1
Sainte-Marienne vs Piton Saint-Leu
3:1
Sep 12, 2021 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne
2:3
Dec 9, 2020 Regionale 1
Piton Saint-Leu vs Sainte-Marienne
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Piton Saint-Leu 85 / 100
Sainte-Marienne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Piton Saint-Leu Sainte-Marienne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Piton Saint-Leu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Sainte-Marienne's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sainte-Marienne let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Piton Saint-Leu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Piton Saint-Leu VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Piton Saint-Leu

(Home)
23 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Saint-Denis
09 Nov
Sainte Rose
4 : 1
Piton Saint-Leu
02 Nov
Piton Saint-Leu
1 : 0
Trois Bassins
19 Oct
Saint-Louisienne
2 : 0
Piton Saint-Leu
12 Oct
Piton Saint-Leu
2 : 0
Marsouins
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Sainte-Marienne

(Away)
26 Nov
Tamponnaise
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
19 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
1 : 3
Saint-Pierroise
12 Nov
Sainte-Suzanne
4 : 0
Sainte-Marienne
05 Nov
Sainte-Marienne
0 : 3
Saint Louis
22 Oct
Saint-Pauloise FC
6 : 1
Sainte-Marienne
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