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Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs RWB Adria

USA USA

US Open Cup 2014
Wed, May 28, 2014
3 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pittsburgh Riverhounds play RWB Adria in the US Open Cup 2014. Pittsburgh Riverhounds are favorites here. Recently, Pittsburgh Riverhounds averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. RWB Adria averaged 1.29 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 2, RWB Adria won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2014 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 1.25 for RWB Adria. This points to a Pittsburgh Riverhounds double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
15%
Draws
21%
RWB Adria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds picked up more points recently compared to RWB Adria.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 19%
RWB Adria Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pittsburgh Riverhounds RWB Adria
Matches Played 32 7
Wins 20 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.94 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2014 US Open Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs RWB Adria
3:2
May 14, 2013 US Open Cup
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs RWB Adria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Earls D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader John C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

RWB Adria Compare

Top Goalscorer Huffman D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bond T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pittsburgh Riverhounds 61 / 100
RWB Adria 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pittsburgh Riverhounds RWB Adria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pittsburgh Riverhounds & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.6%
1.79
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pittsburgh Riverhounds attacking → ← attacking RWB Adria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pittsburgh Riverhounds scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

RWB Adria let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

RWB Adria lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 6
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00