Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PK-35 Helsinki W vs Ilves W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 Algeco Areena, Helsinki
Our Tip

Match Events

69'
Sub
Hakola L. In: Kallio I.
Out: Hakola L.
69'
Sub
Lahteenmaki L. In: Orava M.
Out: Lahteenmaki L.
72'
Sub
Karkkainen S. In: Harmaala A.
Out: Karkkainen S.

AI Match Summary

PK-35 Helsinki W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored PK-35 Helsinki W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
PK-35 Helsinki W
15%
Draws
0%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PK-35 Helsinki W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilves W have won more games recently than PK-35 Helsinki W.
  • PK-35 Helsinki W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
PK-35 Helsinki W Clean Sheet 20%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PK-35 Helsinki W Ilves W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 1
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.27 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
3:1
Sep 19, 2025 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs Ilves W
2:1
Oct 18, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
2:3
Aug 25, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs PK-35 Helsinki W
1:3
Jun 15, 2024 Kansallinen Liiga Women
PK-35 Helsinki W vs Ilves W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PK-35 Helsinki W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lampinen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hassinen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olmala H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PK-35 Helsinki W 85 / 100
Ilves W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PK-35 Helsinki W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PK-35 Helsinki W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ilves W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ilves W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: PK-35 Helsinki W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ilves W
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

PK-35 Helsinki W

(Home)
18 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 1
PK-35 Helsinki W
11 Oct
PK-35 Helsinki W
4 : 2
JyPK W
04 Oct
PK-35 Helsinki W
1 : 0
HJK Akatemia W
28 Sept
EBK W
1 : 2
PK-35 Helsinki W
24 Sept
KTP W
1 : 1
PK-35 Helsinki W
Page 1 of 6

Ilves W

(Away)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilves W 10 7 1 2 24:9 25
2 PK-35 Helsinki W 10 7 2 1 19:9 25
3 EBK W 10 5 1 4 16:15 17
4 JyPK W 10 3 1 6 13:21 13
5 KTP W 10 2 3 5 12:17 11
6 HJK Akatemia W 10 1 2 7 9:22 5
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Main)
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilves W 10 7 1 2 24:9 25
2 PK-35 Helsinki W 10 7 2 1 19:9 25
3 EBK W 10 5 1 4 16:15 17
4 JyPK W 10 3 1 6 13:21 13
5 KTP W 10 2 3 5 12:17 11
6 HJK Akatemia W 10 1 2 7 9:22 5
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Main)
Relegation - Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Main)