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Stadium Background

Plabennec vs Gueugnon

France France

National 2010/2011
Sat, Apr 30, 2011
3 - 0
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Plabennec host Gueugnon in the National 2010/2011. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Gueugnon have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while Plabennec have conceded 1.3 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Plabennec slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2011, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.00 - 1.19) back Plabennec to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Plabennec
15%
Draws
28%
Gueugnon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plabennec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plabennec lately — more wins on the board than Gueugnon.
  • Win probability leans Plabennec's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Plabennec here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Plabennec Clean Sheet 20%
Gueugnon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plabennec Gueugnon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 25
Goals Scored 1.27 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2011 Ligue 3
Plabennec vs Gueugnon
3:0
Nov 27, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Plabennec
0:3
Jan 19, 2010 Ligue 3
Gueugnon vs Plabennec
0:0
Aug 11, 2009 Ligue 3
Plabennec vs Gueugnon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plabennec 85 / 100
Gueugnon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plabennec Gueugnon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plabennec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gueugnon conceded in 88% of 26 recent games.

Plabennec's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Gueugnon's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plabennec VS Gueugnon
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Plabennec

(Home)
29 Nov
Plabennec
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
16 Nov
Pledran
0 : 2
Plabennec
18 Nov
Plabennec
1 : 2
Challans
21 Jan
Plabennec
0 : 1
Grenoble
07 Jan
Plabennec
2 : 0
Vannes
Page 1 of 7

Gueugnon

(Away)
16 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Sochaux
29 Oct
Chamalieres
2 : 1
Gueugnon
17 Nov
Gueugnon
1 : 3
Clermont
02 Dec
Gueugnon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
11 Nov
Tour Saint Clair
0 : 1
Gueugnon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bastia 40 27 10 3 81:24 91
2 Amiens SC 40 24 12 4 58:27 84
3 Guingamp 40 23 11 6 87:36 80
4 Strasbourg 40 20 17 3 56:27 77
5 Cannes 40 18 14 8 51:35 68
6 Frejus Saint Raphael 40 19 10 11 56:41 67
7 Beauvais 40 15 16 9 50:48 61
8 Rouen 40 15 14 11 54:44 59
9 Orleans 40 13 14 13 43:40 53
10 Creteil 40 13 12 15 41:48 51
11 Paris FC 40 11 16 13 45:46 49
12 Luzenac 40 12 13 15 39:44 49
13 Niort 40 13 10 17 46:46 49
14 Pacy Eure 40 13 8 19 38:47 45
15 Colmar 40 11 11 18 31:48 44
16 Gap 40 11 10 19 44:62 43
17 Bayonne 40 11 10 19 36:58 43
18 Rodez 40 11 7 22 41:63 40
19 Plabennec 40 9 12 19 33:52 39
20 Alfortville 40 6 10 24 33:79 28
21 Gueugnon 40 3 7 30 21:69 16
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2011/2012 (Main)