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Placido de Castro vs Santa Cruz AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Aisley
30' Event
Italo Caua
37' Event
Alifi

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2 2025 game between Placido de Castro and Santa Cruz AC finished 0-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Placido de Castro
20%
Draws
52%
Santa Cruz AC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Cruz AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Cruz AC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Santa Cruz AC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 14%
Santa Cruz AC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Placido de Castro Santa Cruz AC
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.57 2.26
Goals Conceded 2.53 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2025 Acreano 2
Placido de Castro vs Santa Cruz AC
0:8

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Placido de Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Santa Cruz AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Aisley
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mosquito
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Placido de Castro 10 / 100
Santa Cruz AC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Placido de Castro Santa Cruz AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 8.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Placido de Castro scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Placido de Castro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Cruz AC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 42% of 19 matches.

Scoring Trends

Placido de Castro VS Santa Cruz AC
1.71 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Placido de Castro

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
16 Sept
Placido de Castro
3 : 3
Atletico Acreano
08 Sept
Nauas EC
1 : 7
Placido de Castro
01 Sept
Placido de Castro
2 : 1
Andira
25 Aug
Atletico Acreano
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz AC

(Away)
22 Mar
Rio Branco AC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz AC
19 Mar
SC Humaita
0 : 1
Santa Cruz AC
14 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
0 : 0
SC Humaita
07 Mar
Santa Cruz AC
3 : 2
Senador Guiomard
23 Feb
Rio Branco AC
0 : 3
Santa Cruz AC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Francisco FC (AC) 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
2 Santa Cruz AC 5 3 2 0 22:2 11
3 Atletico Acreano 5 3 1 1 15:6 10
4 Andira 5 2 1 2 9:10 7
5 Placido de Castro 5 1 0 4 2:21 3
6 Nauas EC 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Acreano 2 2025 (Play Offs)