Sport Picks

North Macedonia

2. MFL 2020/2021 Stadion Goce Delčev

Pobeda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Plackovica play Pobeda in the 2. MFL 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Plackovica averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Pobeda averaged 0.86 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. In past meetings, Plackovica won 1, Pobeda won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Apr 24, 2021 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Plackovica and 0.61 for Pobeda. This points to a Plackovica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Plackovica

29%

Draws

33%

Pobeda

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Plackovica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Plackovica picked up more points recently compared to Pobeda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 0.61 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Plackovica Clean Sheet 29%

Pobeda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Plackovica	Pobeda
Matches Played	29	37
Wins	6	8
Draws	6	4
Losses	17	25
Goals Scored	0.83	0.86
Goals Conceded	1.97	3.35

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2021 2. MFL

Plackovica vs Pobeda

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Nov 25, 2020 2. MFL

Plackovica vs Pobeda

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sep 19, 2020 2. MFL

Pobeda vs Plackovica

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Nov 23, 2019 2. MFL

Plackovica vs Pobeda

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Sep 15, 2019 2. MFL

Pobeda vs Plackovica

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plackovica 40 / 100

Pobeda 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Plackovica Pobeda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Plackovica or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Plackovica attacking → ← attacking Pobeda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plackovica scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Pobeda let in goals in 86% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Plackovica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Pobeda lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 28

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bregalnica Stip	27	23	4	0	73:18	73
2	Tikves	27	18	7	2	59:23	61
3	FK Pehchevo	27	12	6	9	41:33	42
4	Sloga Vinica	27	9	9	9	33:34	36
5	Kozuf Gevgelija	27	9	9	9	29:35	36
6	Kamenica Sasa	27	9	8	10	35:32	35
7	Osogovo	27	7	8	12	32:43	29
8	Pobeda	27	6	9	12	30:35	27
9	Plackovica	27	5	7	15	20:42	21
10	Rosoman 83	27	2	3	22	26:83	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Skopje	26	18	6	2	50:20	60
2	Ohrid	26	13	7	6	26:13	46
3	Veleshta	26	13	7	6	32:23	46
4	KF Gostivar	26	12	7	7	33:30	43
5	FK Korab	26	10	6	10	28:27	36
6	Kadino Skopje	26	7	7	12	24:24	28
7	Vellazerimi	26	7	6	13	26:34	27
8	Teteks	26	8	3	15	19:34	27
9	Drita	26	4	9	13	28:41	21
10	Vardari Forino	18	3	4	11	15:35	10