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Plateau United vs Warri Wolves - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Emmanuel A.
59' Event
Ayanrinde S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Plateau United
35%
Draws
35%
Warri Wolves
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Plateau United have won more games recently than Warri Wolves.
  • Win probability leans Plateau United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular NPFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Plateau United Clean Sheet 20%
Warri Wolves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plateau United Warri Wolves
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.4 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 NPFL
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves
1:1
May 3, 2026 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Plateau United
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 NPFL
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves
1:0
Jun 20, 2021 NPFL
Plateau United vs Warri Wolves
2:0
Feb 3, 2021 NPFL
Warri Wolves vs Plateau United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plateau United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayanrinde S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Warri Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Emmanuel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plateau United 42 / 100
Warri Wolves 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plateau United Warri Wolves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Plateau United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Plateau United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Warri Wolves let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Plateau United VS Warri Wolves
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Plateau United

(Home)
01 Nov
Plateau United
1 : 1
Warri Wolves
24 Oct
Katsina Utd
2 : 2
Plateau United
18 Oct
Plateau United
2 : 3
Sporting Lagos
11 Oct
Plateau United
4 : 0
Kano Pillars
04 Oct
Enyimba International
2 : 0
Plateau United
Page 1 of 6

Warri Wolves

(Away)
01 Nov
Plateau United
1 : 1
Warri Wolves
25 Oct
Warri Wolves
0 : 0
Kano Pillars
18 Oct
Enyimba International
0 : 0
Warri Wolves
11 Oct
Warri Wolves
3 : 1
Inter Lagos
04 Oct
Doma United
1 : 0
Warri Wolves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rivers United 11 4 6 1 15:5 18
3 Kano Pillars 11 4 6 1 14:11 18
4 Bendel 11 6 0 5 18:16 18
5 Nasarawa United 11 5 2 4 11:10 17
6 Plateau United 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Barau 11 3 7 1 13:10 16
8 Niger Tornadoes 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
9 Katsina Utd 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
10 Shooting 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
11 Sporting Lagos 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
12 Doma United 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
13 Ikorodu City 11 3 5 3 15:13 14
14 Warri Wolves 11 3 4 4 7:8 13
15 Kwara 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
16 Kun Khalifa 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
17 Enyimba International 11 3 2 6 12:15 11
18 Abia Warriors 11 2 4 5 10:17 10
19 Ranchers Bees 10 2 3 5 11:14 9
20 Inter Lagos 11 1 3 7 6:20 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)