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Platense vs Corinthians

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Andre
54' Event
Kayke Ferrari
Assist: Garro R.
63'
Sub
Lotti A. In: Heredia L.
Out: Lotti A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Corinthians advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Platense
33%
Draws
40%
Corinthians
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Corinthians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians come out ahead of Platense on wins alone.
  • Model gives Corinthians a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Corinthians arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Platense Clean Sheet 20%
Corinthians Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Corinthians
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.43 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Corinthians vs Platense
0:2
Apr 10, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Platense vs Corinthians
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Corinthians Compare

Top Goalscorer Kayke Ferrari
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yuri Alberto
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 28 / 100
Corinthians 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Corinthians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Platense's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Corinthians conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Platense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Corinthians
1 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)
03 Aug
Platense
0 : 4
Talleres Cordoba
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1
Platense
25 Jul
Platense
2 : 2
Union de Santa Fe
28 May
Corinthians
0 : 2
Platense
20 May
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Platense
Page 1 of 6

Corinthians

(Away)
02 Aug
Internacional
2 : 0
Corinthians
30 Jul
Corinthians
0 : 0
Athletico-PR
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1
Corinthians
23 Jul
Corinthians
3 : 0
Remo
12 Jul
FC Cascavel
1 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)