Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Platense vs Newells Old Boys

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Solari S.
33'
Herrera R.
44'
Vazquez I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Platense and Newells Old Boys finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newells Old Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Platense
35%
Draws
45%
Newells Old Boys
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys haven't matched Platense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Newells Old Boys's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Platense Clean Sheet 20%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platense Newells Old Boys
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga Profesional
Platense vs Newells Old Boys
0:1
Mar 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Platense
1:1
May 11, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Platense
2:0
Mar 16, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Platense
0:0
Oct 31, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Platense vs Newells Old Boys
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Solari S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 16 / 100
Newells Old Boys 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platense Newells Old Boys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platense's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Newells Old Boys's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Platense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Newells Old Boys
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
15 Sept
Platense
2 : 1
Fluminense
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
08 Sept
Fluminense
2 : 0
Platense
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 7

Newells Old Boys

(Away)
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
23 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1
Banfield
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)