Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Buenos Aires

Platense

1 - 1

Penarol

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Sub

Remedi E. In: Laxalt D.

Out: Remedi E.

14'

Ferreira L.

17'

Sub

Nasif T. In: Lotti A.

Out: Nasif T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Platense

30%

Draws

51%

Penarol

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Penarol come out ahead of Platense on wins alone.
Penarol are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Penarol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Platense Clean Sheet 16%

Penarol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Platense	Penarol
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	10	13
Draws	9	9
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	0.94	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.16	0.93
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Platense vs Penarol

1:1

Apr 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Penarol vs Platense

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagos A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 28 / 100

Penarol 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Platense Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Penarol Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Platense scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Penarol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Platense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Penarol

0.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)

20 Sept

Platense

0 : 1

Newells Old Boys

15 Sept

Platense

2 : 1

Fluminense

12 Sept

Estudiantes L.P.

2 : 1

Platense

08 Sept

Fluminense

2 : 0

Platense

04 Sept

Platense

1 : 1

Deportivo Riestra

Page 1 of 7

Penarol

(Away)

30 Sept

Montevideo City

1 : 1

Penarol

26 Sept

Penarol

2 : 1

Boston River

24 Sept

Danubio

1 : 1

Penarol

19 Sept

CA Cerro

1 : 2

Penarol

13 Sept

Penarol

3 : 1

Albion

Page 1 of 6