Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Vicente López, Buenos Aires

Platense

1 - 1

Penarol

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Sub

Remedi E. In: Laxalt D.

Out: Remedi E.

14'

Ferreira L.

17'

Sub

Nasif T. In: Lotti A.

Out: Nasif T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Platense

40%

Draws

29%

Penarol

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Penarol come out ahead of Platense on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Penarol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Platense Clean Sheet 68%

Penarol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Platense	Penarol
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	8	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.86	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.86	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Platense vs Penarol

1:1

Apr 17, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Penarol vs Platense

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platense Compare

Top Goalscorer Lagos A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platense 42 / 100

Penarol 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Platense Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Penarol let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Platense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Platense found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Platense VS Penarol

1 Goals Scored 1.25

0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13

71% Over 1.5 88%

29% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Platense

(Home)

28 May

Corinthians

0 : 2

Platense

20 May

Santa Fe

2 : 1

Platense

13 May

Platense

1 : 0

San Martin S.J.

07 May

Platense

1 : 1

Penarol

03 May

Platense

0 : 2

Estudiantes L.P.

Page 1 of 6

Penarol

(Away)

18 Jul

Penarol

3 : 0

Boston River

12 Jul

Racing Montevideo

1 : 1

Penarol

07 Jun

CA Cerro

0 : 1

Penarol

01 Jun

Penarol

0 : 1

Central Esp.

28 May

Penarol

0 : 1

Santa Fe

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