Sport Picks
Platges de Calvia vs Atletico Isleno
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Platges de Calvia and Atletico Isleno finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Platges de Calvia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Platges de Calvia come out ahead of Atletico Isleno on wins alone.
- Platges de Calvia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Isleno Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Platges de Calvia | Atletico Isleno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Atletico Isleno
2:2
Jan 8, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Isleno vs Platges de Calvia
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Platges de Calvia 67 / 100
Atletico Isleno 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Platges de Calvia Atletico Isleno
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Isleno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Away concern: Atletico Isleno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Platges de Calvia scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Platges de Calvia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Platges de Calvia
(Home) 26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1 Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
03 May
Platges de Calvia
4 : 2 Manacor
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0 Binissalem
05 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 4 Pena Deportiva
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Isleno
(Away) 19 May
Atletico Isleno
2 : 1 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
12 May
Soller
1 : 0 Atletico Isleno
05 May
Atletico Isleno
0 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Apr
Atletico Isleno
0 : 3 Ferriolense
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Soller
1 : 0 Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2 Atletico Isleno
06 Apr
Manacor
1 : 1 Atletico Isleno
17 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 Atletico Isleno
03 Mar
Alcudia
2 : 0 Atletico Isleno
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Constancia | 38 | 24 | 13 | 1 | 68:21 | 85 |
| 2 | Binissalem | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 59:26 | 80 |
| 3 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 76 |
| 4 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 66:28 | 75 |
| 5 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:23 | 72 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 61:35 | 67 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 65:40 | 67 |
| 8 | Campos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 38:31 | 56 |
| 9 | UD Poblense | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 49:39 | 55 |
| 10 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:47 | 52 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 46:58 | 45 |
| 12 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 13 | Son Ferrer | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 28:50 | 42 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:54 | 39 |
| 15 | Espana | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:66 | 39 |
| 16 | Atletico Isleno | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 46:60 | 38 |
| 17 | Ferriolense | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 44:60 | 36 |
| 18 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 41:65 | 34 |
| 19 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 27:87 | 23 |
| 20 | Alaior | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 35:76 | 21 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
