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Platges de Calvia vs Rotlet Molinar

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Plomer M.
40' Event
Sarmiento S.
49' Event
Gibert V.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Platges de Calvia and Rotlet Molinar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Platges de Calvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Platges de Calvia
28%
Draws
22%
Rotlet Molinar
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Platges de Calvia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Platges de Calvia come out ahead of Rotlet Molinar on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Platges de Calvia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Platges de Calvia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 68%
Rotlet Molinar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platges de Calvia Rotlet Molinar
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Rotlet Molinar
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Platges de Calvia
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Rotlet Molinar vs Platges de Calvia
0:1
Dec 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Rotlet Molinar
1:0
Feb 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Rotlet Molinar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Plomer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sarmiento S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rotlet Molinar Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibert V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platges de Calvia 59 / 100
Rotlet Molinar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platges de Calvia Rotlet Molinar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rotlet Molinar has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Platges de Calvia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Rotlet Molinar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Platges de Calvia VS Rotlet Molinar
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mallorca B342662105:2284
2Manacor34245571:3977
3Pena Deportiva34208669:3068
4Constancia341951062:2962
5Llosetense341610859:4058
6Formentera341313840:2952
7Inter Ibiza341551442:4350
8Mercadal341541531:4549
9Cardassar341281438:5544
10Platges de Calvia341261641:4342
11Binissalem3410111326:3441
12Santanyi341181543:5841
13Alcudia341151837:6238
14CD Son Cladera341151841:6338
15Portmany34862025:5030
16Collerense346101841:6428
17Felanitx345111832:6226
18Rotlet Molinar34582134:6923