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Platges de Calvia vs Soller

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Josemi
20' Event
Josemi
42' Event
Aguilar R.

AI Match Summary

Platges de Calvia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Platges de Calvia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Platges de Calvia
15%
Draws
49%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Platges de Calvia have won more games recently than Soller.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Platges de Calvia taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 68%
Soller Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Platges de Calvia Soller
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 16 4
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 1.38 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.16 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Soller
5:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Platges de Calvia
1:5
Feb 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs Soller
0:1
Oct 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Platges de Calvia
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Platges de Calvia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Platges de Calvia Compare

Top Goalscorer Josemi
2 Goals
Assists Leader Esteve M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Soller Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguilar R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Platges de Calvia 86 / 100
Soller 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Platges de Calvia Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Platges de Calvia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soller has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

Platges de Calvia scored in 62% of their last 37 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Soller has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Platges de Calvia VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Platges de Calvia

(Home)
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2
Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1
Platges de Calvia
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1
Platges de Calvia
03 May
Platges de Calvia
4 : 2
Manacor
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0
Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 8

Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)