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Plavinas vs AFA Olaine

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Fjodorovs K.
Assist: Cernovs K.
16' Event
Cernovs K.
Assist: Butlers R.
31' Event
Cernovs K.
Assist: Tribers M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with AFA Olaine advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Plavinas
15%
Draws
37%
AFA Olaine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plavinas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • AFA Olaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Plavinas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • AFA Olaine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AFA Olaine, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).
  • History favors AFA Olaine here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Plavinas Clean Sheet 10%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plavinas AFA Olaine
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 6 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 5.65 2.95
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2025 Latvian Cup
Plavinas vs AFA Olaine
3:5
Sep 20, 2014 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Plavinas
12:1
May 24, 2014 1. Liga
Plavinas vs AFA Olaine
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plavinas Compare

Top Goalscorer Svekis K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rutins M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cernovs K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Fjodorovs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.18
Avg xA / game 1.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plavinas 74 / 100
AFA Olaine 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plavinas AFA Olaine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plavinas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFA Olaine has conceded goals in 95% of their last 37 outings.

These sides typically produce 8.67 goals when they meet.

Plavinas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Plavinas's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Plavinas VS AFA Olaine
3 Goals Scored 2
5 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Plavinas

(Home)
21 Jun
Plavinas
3 : 5
AFA Olaine
31 May
Plavinas
3 : 2
Rigas Futbola Skola
17 May
Plavinas
4 : 0
Namejs
01 Jun
Plavinas
0 : 5
Kekava-Auda
17 May
DSVK Traktors
1 : 2
Plavinas
Page 1 of 7

AFA Olaine

(Away)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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FK Alberts -
Riga United -
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SK Babite -
Iecava -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Marupe -
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JFC Viola -
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
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FK Cesis -
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Ogre United -
Plavinas -
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Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
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Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
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LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
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DSVK Traktors -
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
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Lielupe -
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Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
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Valka -
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
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Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
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Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
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FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1