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Plavinas vs FK Karosta

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Karosta in this Latvian Cup 2021 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Plavinas
15%
Draws
34%
FK Karosta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plavinas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Plavinas haven't matched FK Karosta's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • FK Karosta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Plavinas Clean Sheet 10%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plavinas FK Karosta
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 6 14
Draws 1 0
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.9 2.85
Goals Conceded 5.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2021 Latvian Cup
Plavinas vs FK Karosta
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plavinas 30 / 100
FK Karosta 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plavinas FK Karosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Karosta let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Recent resilience: Plavinas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: FK Karosta has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Plavinas's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Plavinas VS FK Karosta
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Plavinas

(Home)
21 Jun
Plavinas
3 : 5
AFA Olaine
31 May
Plavinas
3 : 2
Rigas Futbola Skola
17 May
Plavinas
4 : 0
Namejs
01 Jun
Plavinas
0 : 5
Kekava-Auda
17 May
DSVK Traktors
1 : 2
Plavinas
Page 1 of 6

FK Karosta

(Away)
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1
FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2
Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1
FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1
FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0
FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Kadaga/Ostas -
TBD -
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Preilu BJSS -
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FK Smiltene -
RTU 1
JFC Viola 2
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Riga United -
Sigulda -
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DSVK Traktors -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine -
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Speks -
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe -
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Kengaroos -
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite 3
Dobele Allegro 0
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Skanste -
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Gauja -
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Tente -
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Marupe -
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Talsi -
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba -
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FK Alberts -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks -
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FK Limbazi -
Aliance -
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Bebri -
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele -
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Livani -
Salaspils FK -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
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FK Madona Kvarcs -
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Latgols / Ludza -
Albatroz -
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Plavinas -
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FK Karosta -
1/64-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Preilu BJSS 1
TBD -
FK Smiltene -
JFC Viola 5
Riga United 0
Sigulda 4
DSVK Traktors 3
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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Upesciems -
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AFA Olaine 0
Speks 2
Jekabpils SC -
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Grobina -
Kalupe 4
Kengaroos 5
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Dinamo Riga -
Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Fk Jurnieks Riga -
Alberts JDFS -
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SK Babite -
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Skanste 5
Gauja 1
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 5
Talsi 3
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FK Auda Riga -
Caramba 2
FK Alberts 0
Lielupe 1
Valka 3
Riga FC -
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Kuivizu Spartaks 0
FK Limbazi 10
Aliance 4
Bebri 2
Tukums 2000 -
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Bauskas / Memele 1
Livani 5
Salaspils FK -
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Rezekne -
Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis -
FK Varaklani -
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Latgols / Ludza 3
Albatroz -
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Plavinas 0
FK Karosta 1
1/32-finals
Kadaga/Ostas 0
FK Smiltene 6
JFC Viola 5
Sigulda 2
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FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
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Upesciems 2
Speks 4
Jekabpils SC 0
Grobina 2
Kengaroos 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Saldus SS/Leevon 2
Fk Jurnieks Riga 0
Alberts JDFS 1
SK Babite 0
Skanste 4
Tente 0
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RFS -
FK Metta -
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Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Caramba 11
Valka 0
Riga FC -
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FK Limbazi 4
Aliance 0
Tukums 2000 4
Livani 0
Salaspils FK 0
Rezekne 7
Super Nova 6
Sports United/Cesis 0
FK Varaklani 0
Latgols / Ludza 5
Albatroz 5
FK Karosta 1
1/16-finals
FK Smiltene 2
JFC Viola 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
Valmiera -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Speks 4
Grobina 2
Dinamo Riga 9
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Skanste 2
TBD -
RFS -
FK Metta -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga 3
Caramba 1
Riga FC -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 0
Tukums 2000 2
Rezekne 3
Super Nova 1
Latgols / Ludza 0
Albatroz 1
1/8-finals
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 3
Spartaks Jurmala 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
Valmiera -
TBD -
Speks 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Skanste 0
RFS 2
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Riga FC 3
Tukums 2000 1
Rezekne 0
Albatroz 3
Quarter-finals
FK Liepaja 1
BFC Daugavpils 0
Valmiera 5
Dinamo Riga 0
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 3
Albatroz 0
Semi-finals
FK Liepaja 2
Valmiera 0
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
Final
FK Liepaja 0
RFS 1