Sport Picks

Australia

NPL South Australia Ramsay Park

Playford Patriots

2 - 1

Sturt Lions FC

Our Tip

Match Events

62'

Mullen I.

(Penalty)

84'

Jurjevic R.

90'

Rodriguez G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Playford Patriots in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Playford Patriots.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Playford Patriots

40%

Draws

29%

Sturt Lions FC

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Playford Patriots haven't matched Sturt Lions FC's recent run of results.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Playford Patriots Clean Sheet 14%

Sturt Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Playford Patriots	Sturt Lions FC
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	11	17
Draws	6	1
Losses	12	11
Goals Scored	2.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	2
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 NPL South Australia

Sturt Lions FC vs Playford Patriots

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Apr 11, 2026 NPL South Australia

Playford Patriots vs Sturt Lions FC

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Jun 15, 2024 SA State League

Sturt Lions FC vs Playford Patriots

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Mar 23, 2024 SA State League

Playford Patriots vs Sturt Lions FC

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 1 - 3

4:1

Sep 19, 2020 SA State League

Playford Patriots vs Sturt Lions FC

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Playford Patriots Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurjevic R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Sturt Lions FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Playford Patriots 31 / 100

Sturt Lions FC 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Playford Patriots Sturt Lions FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Playford Patriots scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Sturt Lions FC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Sturt Lions FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Playford Patriots VS Sturt Lions FC

2.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MetroStars	17	11	4	2	48:18	37
2	Adelaide City	17	10	5	2	33:14	35
3	West Torrens Birkalla	17	10	3	4	34:26	33
4	FK Beograd	17	9	3	5	31:19	30
5	Croydon	17	8	3	6	38:30	27
6	Playford Patriots	17	7	5	5	35:26	26
7	Adelaide Utd U23	17	5	7	5	22:24	22
8	Sturt Lions FC	17	7	0	10	30:30	21
9	Campbelltown City	17	5	4	8	27:29	19
10	West Adelaide	17	4	6	7	33:34	18
11	Adelaide Comets	17	3	4	10	19:34	13
12	Para	17	0	2	15	9:75	2