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Plaza Amador vs Xelaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Maracaná, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Davis E.
29' Event
Cardenas S.
40'
Rios H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-2. The second leg ended 5-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Plaza Amador
30%
Draws
27%
Xelaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Plaza Amador

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Amador carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Plaza Amador are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Plaza Amador have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Plaza Amador, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Plaza Amador Clean Sheet 10%
Xelaju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Amador Xelaju
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.41 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Plaza Amador vs Xelaju
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Amador Compare

Top Goalscorer Rose E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Murillo Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Xelaju Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenas S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Amador 40 / 100
Xelaju 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Amador Xelaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Amador found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Plaza Amador stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Xelaju let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Amador VS Xelaju
2 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Amador

(Home)
04 Oct
Plaza Amador
2 : 1
Union Deportivo Universitario
27 Sept
Union Cocle
1 : 2
Plaza Amador
20 Sept
Plaza Amador
1 : 1
Veraguas
12 Sept
Independiente
2 : 2
Plaza Amador
06 Sept
Plaza Amador
4 : 1
Herrera
Page 1 of 6

Xelaju

(Away)
04 Oct
Xelaju
2 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
27 Sept
Xelaju
2 : 3
Comunicaciones
24 Sept
Xelaju
4 : 0
Antigua
20 Sept
Suchitepequez
2 : 2
Xelaju
13 Sept
Guastatoya
2 : 1
Xelaju
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)