Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Plaza Colonia vs La Luz

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi
Our Tip

Match Events

82'
Barboza J.
82'
Villalba D.
90' Event
Redin E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Plaza Colonia and La Luz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Plaza Colonia
33%
Draws
27%
La Luz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Plaza Colonia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
La Luz Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia La Luz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 15
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
1:0
Sep 25, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
2:0
Jun 9, 2024 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Plaza Colonia
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
La Luz vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Mar 17, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Redin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

La Luz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 50 / 100
La Luz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia La Luz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

La Luz has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Plaza Colonia went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS La Luz
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Rentistas1042411:1314
6Tacuarembo104248:1014
7Fenix1034314:1213
8Miramar1034314:1213
9La Luz103438:813
10Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
11Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
12Huracan FC103348:1212
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158