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Plaza Colonia vs La Luz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi, Colonia del Sacramento
Our Tip

Match Events

82'
Barboza J.
82'
Villalba D.
90' Event
Redin E.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Plaza Colonia and La Luz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Plaza Colonia
20%
Draws
51%
La Luz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Luz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%
La Luz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Plaza Colonia La Luz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.28 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
1:0
Sep 25, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
2:0
Jun 9, 2024 Segunda Division
La Luz vs Plaza Colonia
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
La Luz vs Plaza Colonia
1:1
Mar 17, 2023 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Plaza Colonia vs La Luz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Redin E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

La Luz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Plaza Colonia 42 / 100
La Luz 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Plaza Colonia La Luz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plaza Colonia scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Plaza Colonia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

La Luz let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Plaza Colonia VS La Luz
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Plaza Colonia

(Home)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

La Luz

(Away)
04 Oct
La Luz
3 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
19 Sept
La Luz
0 : 1
Atenas
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
04 Sept
La Luz
1 : 3
Huracan FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 Rentistas 21 9 6 6 26:23 33
3 Club Oriental De Futbol 21 8 8 5 29:22 32
4 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
5 River Plate Montevideo 21 8 6 7 31:26 30
6 Colon 21 8 6 7 20:23 30
7 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
8 Cerrito 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
10 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
11 Paysandu FC 21 7 4 10 26:28 25
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 21 6 6 9 16:23 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 21 4 5 12 19:31 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)